Ann Arbor, Michigan
By the Numbers:
Today’s matchup is all about the defense. Boasting the #1 and #2 nationally ranked scoring defenses, it is set to be slugfest. Michigan, holds the edge in the air while the Cats look to control the ground game. Both teams average around 390 yards per game and only allow 7 (Northwestern) and 7.6 (Michigan) points per game. Conversely, the two teams rack up 27.8 ppg (Michigan) and 25.4 (Northwestern). On paper the two teams couldn’t be more evenly matched with the biggest disparity coming in the conversion rates on 3rd and 4th down and in the redzone. Northwestern leads in 3rd down conversions with 55%, and 4th down offense with 50%. Michigan holds the edge in scoring territory with a gaudy 94% offensive efficiency and 83% defensively.
Players to Watch:
NW – Offense – Justin Jackson, RB – the lead dog for the cats is talented runner and would probably be successful despite the offense he is playing behind. The Cats run heavy attack only looks to showcase the young runner who has averaged 122 yards per game over his last 13 games. Jackson, has been the team’s leading rusher in every game he has played.
NW – Defense – Anthony Walker, MLB – the Miami native is all purpose defender who leads the team in tackles with 44, and 8 tackles for loss on the season. Walker is the leader of the #1 ranked scoring defense that hasn’t had one change in the lineup all season and they have allowed only 7ppg through their 5 consecutive wins.
UM – Offense – Jake Rudock, QB – somewhat of a copout picking the quarterback, but here is why. Even though this isn’t the same Wolverine squad that took the field week 1, people are too quick to forget how bad quarterback play can erase even the most soundly executed game. Rudock needs to be a game manager today and not try to show off in front of a voracious home crowd.
NW – Defense – Jourdan Lewis, CB – regarded by some as the best cover corner in the nation, Lewis doesn’t shy away from contact either. The Cats will not shy away from the run and they love to test the edges, if Lewis stays honest he very well could make a game changing play anytime the ball is in the air.
The Prediction:
Northwestern struggles to have any success through the air but come out to an early lead thanks to the efforts of Jackson. The Wolverines will struggle out of the gate but will look like a new team in the second half on their way to a come from behind victory. Giving them their first win as a ranked team against a ranked team since 2013 when they beat the Irish under the lights. Big Blue wins on homecoming, 24-17.
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